Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ba vs Lautoka

Fiji Fiji

Premier League Govind Park, Ba
Ba Logo

Ba

4 - 1
FT
Lautoka Logo

Lautoka

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Naicegu S.
Own Goal
21' Event
Orobulu J.
47' Event
Logaivau I.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ba and Lautoka finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Ba
15%
Draws
24%
Lautoka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ba come out ahead of Lautoka on wins alone.
  • Ba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Ba Clean Sheet 20%
Lautoka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ba Lautoka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.8 2.1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Premier League
Ba vs Lautoka
4:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Lautoka vs Ba
1:1
Aug 29, 2025 Premier League
Lautoka vs Ba
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Ba vs Lautoka
3:0
Sep 11, 2024 Premier League
Lautoka vs Ba
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ba Compare

Top Goalscorer Orobulu J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dogalau E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Lautoka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ba 85 / 100
Lautoka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ba Lautoka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ba found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Lautoka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Ba has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ba VS Lautoka
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ba

(Home)
29 Aug
Ba
1 : 0
Rewa
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
Page 1 of 6

Lautoka

(Away)
16 Aug
Lautoka
2 : 1
Nadi
14 Aug
Labasa
5 : 3
Lautoka
02 Aug
Lautoka
3 : 1
Nadroga
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Lautoka
1 : 2
Nasinu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 18 13 3 2 54:14 42
2 Labasa 18 11 5 2 44:21 38
3 Rewa 18 10 2 6 39:17 32
4 Lautoka 18 7 5 6 37:35 26
5 Navua 18 7 4 7 25:23 25
6 Suva 18 6 5 7 38:28 23
7 Nadi 18 6 3 9 25:29 21
8 Nasinu 18 6 3 9 27:42 21
9 Nadroga 18 3 4 11 22:50 13
10 Tailevu Naitasiri 18 2 4 12 20:72 10
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Preliminary)