Sport Picks
Fernando de la Mora vs Libertad Asuncion Prediction & H2H Stats
Paraguay
Copa Paraguay Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción 
Match Events
21'
21'
Aguilar G.
33'
33'
Chaparro R.
1'
1'
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Libertad Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Libertad Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than Fernando de la Mora.
- Win probability leans Libertad Asuncion's way, sitting at 40%.
- Libertad Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Libertad Asuncion, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Libertad Asuncion have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fernando de la Mora Clean Sheet 19%
Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fernando de la Mora | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2026 Copa Paraguay
Fernando de la Mora vs Libertad Asuncion
1:2
Sep 11, 2019 Copa Paraguay
Libertad Asuncion vs Fernando de la Mora
3:2
Nov 10, 2006 Copa de Primera
Fernando de la Mora vs Libertad Asuncion
0:2
Sep 1, 2006 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Fernando de la Mora
2:1
May 14, 2006 Copa de Primera
Fernando de la Mora vs Libertad Asuncion
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fernando de la Mora Compare
Top Goalscorer Chaparro R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Libertad Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Aguilar G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fernando de la Mora 28 / 100
Libertad Asuncion 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fernando de la Mora Libertad Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Libertad Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fernando de la Mora found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Libertad Asuncion let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Fernando de la Mora stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fernando de la Mora VS Libertad Asuncion
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fernando de la Mora
(Home) 23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1 Resistencia
13 Sept
Sol de America
3 : 2 Fernando de la Mora
09 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0 Deportivo Capiata
04 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 0 Fernando de la Mora
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1 Resistencia
09 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0 Deportivo Capiata
29 Aug
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 1 Tacuary
14 Aug
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1 Benjamin Aceval
Page 1 of 4
Libertad Asuncion
(Away) 23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2 Rubio Nu
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
30 Aug
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
20 Aug
Tacuary
0 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Resistencia 0
Cerro Porteno 1
General Caballero JLM 2
Rubio Nu 3
29 de Septiembre FBC 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 3
Fulgencio Yegros 2
1 de Marzo Pilar 2
Atletico Tembetary 3
Sportivo Iteno 2
Guarani 1
Deportivo Humaita FBC 1
2 de Mayo 4
Sol de America 2
Sportivo Trinidense 1
Cristobal Colon FC 3
Olimpia Asuncion 5
Paraguari AC 0
Sp. Luqueno 2
Deportivo Santani 0
Recoleta 2
Guairena FC 3
12 de Octubre 2
Obrero 0
Fernando de la Mora 3
Tacuary 0
Libertad Asuncion 1
Independiente FBC 1
Sportivo Ameliano 0
Benjamin Aceval 0
Nacional Asuncion 2
1/8-finals
Cerro Porteno 2
Rubio Nu 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 1
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sportivo Iteno 0
2 de Mayo 0
Sol de America 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Sp. Luqueno 2
Recoleta 3
Guairena FC 1
Fernando de la Mora 1
Libertad Asuncion 2
Independiente FBC 3
Nacional Asuncion 2
Quarter-finals
Cerro Porteno -
San Lorenzo -
Atletico Tembetary -
Sol de America -
Sp. Luqueno -
Recoleta -
Libertad Asuncion -
Independiente FBC -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
