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Gremio Anapolis vs Bom Jesus

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis Logo

Gremio Anapolis

2 - 2
FT
Bom Jesus Logo

Bom Jesus

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Luan
69' Event
Lustosa V.
83' Event
Mateus Bahia
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Goiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Gremio Anapolis
35%
Draws
39%
Bom Jesus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bom Jesus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bom Jesus have won more games recently than Gremio Anapolis.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gremio Anapolis Clean Sheet 17%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Anapolis Bom Jesus
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 5 15
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs Bom Jesus
2:2
Aug 16, 2026 Goiano 2
Bom Jesus vs Gremio Anapolis
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Anapolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Lustosa V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateus Bahia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Bom Jesus Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Anapolis 31 / 100
Bom Jesus 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Anapolis Bom Jesus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio Anapolis's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gremio Anapolis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Bom Jesus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 25 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Anapolis VS Bom Jesus
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Anapolis

(Home)
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Mineiros
3 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
13 Sept
Goianesia
2 : 2
Gremio Anapolis
09 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
1 : 1
Sao Luis
05 Sept
Tupy FC
1 : 1
Gremio Anapolis
Page 1 of 6

Bom Jesus

(Away)
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Goiania
13 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Tupy FC
09 Sept
Mineiros
1 : 0
Bom Jesus
06 Sept
Bom Jesus
2 : 1
Sao Luis
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 14 8 4 2 21:8 28
2 Bom Jesus 14 6 6 2 17:11 24
3 Goianesia 14 6 6 2 18:16 24
4 Morrinhos 14 5 4 5 20:19 19
5 Mineiros 14 5 4 5 15:14 19
6 Goiania 14 4 6 4 11:12 18
7 Tupy FC 14 4 5 5 12:12 17
8 Sao Luis 14 3 6 5 16:20 15
9 Gremio Anapolis 14 2 5 7 15:23 11
10 Trindade 14 1 6 7 11:21 9
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)