Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Acreano vs Placido de Castro

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Moreira P.
62' Event
Campelo Lima I.
83' Event
Marlon

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Placido de Castro advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Acreano
20%
Draws
16%
Placido de Castro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Acreano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Acreano come out ahead of Placido de Castro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Acreano's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Acreano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Acreano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Acreano Clean Sheet 10%
Placido de Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acreano Placido de Castro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.2 1.3
Goals Conceded 2 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 2.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2024 Acreano
Acreano vs Placido de Castro
0:4
Feb 17, 2022 Acreano
Acreano vs Placido de Castro
0:0
Aug 12, 2021 Acreano
Acreano vs Placido de Castro
8:0
Feb 8, 2020 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Acreano
0:2
Feb 3, 2019 Acreano
Acreano vs Placido de Castro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acreano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Placido de Castro Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campelo Lima I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.25
Avg xA / game 1.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acreano 38 / 100
Placido de Castro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acreano Placido de Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acreano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Placido de Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Placido de Castro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Acreano found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Acreano VS Placido de Castro
0 Goals Scored 1.63
3.33 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Acreano

(Home)
10 Apr
Acreano
0 : 4
Placido de Castro
05 Apr
Senador Guiomard
2 : 0
Acreano
30 Mar
Vasco da Gama AC
4 : 0
Acreano
19 Mar
Acreano
0 : 0
Independencia Futebol Clube
06 Mar
Acreano
1 : 0
Andira
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Placido de Castro

(Away)
25 Aug
Atletico Acreano
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
19 Aug
Placido de Castro
0 : 0
Nauas EC
12 Aug
Andira
1 : 0
Placido de Castro
11 Sept
Atletico Acreano
7 : 0
Placido de Castro
04 Sept
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Acreano 0
Placido de Castro 4