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ACS USV Iasi vs Aerostar Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 1 2025/2026 game between ACS USV Iasi and Aerostar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ACS USV Iasi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
ACS USV Iasi
15%
Draws
36%
Aerostar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ACS USV Iasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • ACS USV Iasi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives ACS USV Iasi a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
ACS USV Iasi Clean Sheet 20%
Aerostar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ACS USV Iasi Aerostar
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.44 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 1
ACS USV Iasi vs Aerostar
3:1
Nov 7, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
ACS USV Iasi vs Aerostar
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs ACS USV Iasi
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ACS USV Iasi 36 / 100
Aerostar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ACS USV Iasi Aerostar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ACS USV Iasi scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Aerostar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: ACS USV Iasi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ACS USV Iasi VS Aerostar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ACS USV Iasi

(Home)
03 Oct
CSM Vaslui
2 : 1
ACS USV Iasi
26 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
2 : 0
VSK Gyergyo
22 Sept
Adjud
1 : 2
ACS USV Iasi
19 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
2 : 1
FC Bacau 2
12 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
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Aerostar

(Away)
02 Oct
Aerostar
5 : 0
CSM Pascani
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
Odorheiu
2 : 0
Aerostar
18 Sept
Aerostar
3 : 1
Bradul Putna
12 Sept
CSM Vaslui
3 : 0
Aerostar
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