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ACV Assen vs De Graafschap

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Sat, Aug 9, 2025
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ACV Assen host De Graafschap in the Club Friendly 2025. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: ACV Assen at 2.03 goals for, 1.55 against; De Graafschap at 1.89 for, 2.36 against. Head-to-head, ACV Assen have won 0 to De Graafschap's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.94 vs 1.00, favoring ACV Assen. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
ACV Assen
15%
Draws
14%
De Graafschap
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ACV Assen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ACV Assen come out ahead of De Graafschap on wins alone.
  • ACV Assen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
ACV Assen Clean Sheet 20%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ACV Assen De Graafschap
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
ACV Assen vs De Graafschap
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ACV Assen 85 / 100
De Graafschap 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ACV Assen De Graafschap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACV Assen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ACV Assen scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

De Graafschap let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: ACV Assen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

De Graafschap lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ACV Assen VS De Graafschap
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

ACV Assen

(Home)
22 Sept
ACV Assen
2 : 1
VV Hoogeveen
19 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
ACV Assen
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3
ACV Assen
02 Sept
ACV Assen
6 : 1
Westlandia
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De Graafschap

(Away)
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1
De Graafschap
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