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AD Alcala vs CD Las Rozas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 game between AD Alcala and CD Las Rozas finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Las Rozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
AD Alcala
35%
Draws
40%
CD Las Rozas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Las Rozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CD Las Rozas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD Las Rozas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
AD Alcala Clean Sheet 18%
CD Las Rozas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Alcala CD Las Rozas
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 18
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs CD Las Rozas
0:4
Oct 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs AD Alcala
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Alcala 28 / 100
CD Las Rozas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Alcala CD Las Rozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Las Rozas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

AD Alcala's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

AD Alcala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CD Las Rozas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 37 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Las Rozas
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Alcala

(Home)
24 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 0
AD Alcala
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Villaviciosa de Odon
2 : 1
AD Alcala
13 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 0
AD Alcala
09 Apr
AD Alcala
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
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CD Las Rozas

(Away)
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3
CD Las Rozas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 40 29 8 3 82:26 95
2 CD Las Rozas 40 22 9 9 68:35 75
3 CDE Madrid 40 20 12 8 61:42 72
4 Alcorcon B 40 19 12 9 63:39 69
5 Paracuellos Antamira 40 19 9 12 56:44 66
6 Ursaria 40 16 16 8 47:27 64
7 RSD Alcala 40 18 10 12 45:40 64
8 Getafe B 40 17 10 13 56:46 61
9 Rayo Vallecano B 40 15 12 13 59:43 57
10 AD Torrejon 40 16 9 15 55:48 57
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 40 15 12 13 39:45 57
12 Galapagar 40 16 8 16 50:57 56
13 Trival Valderas 40 13 14 13 40:42 53
14 Parla 40 14 10 16 46:46 52
15 Tres Cantos 40 13 8 19 41:52 47
16 Villaverde San Andres 40 13 6 21 35:45 45
17 Moratalaz 40 12 7 21 46:73 43
18 Villaviciosa de Odon 40 10 8 22 47:73 38
19 AD Alcala 40 9 10 21 31:58 37
20 Carabanchel 40 7 12 21 43:70 33
21 Colonia Moscardo 40 5 2 33 20:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 (Play Offs)