Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Alcala vs Mostoles CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 game between AD Alcala and Mostoles CF finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mostoles CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AD Alcala
20%
Draws
44%
Mostoles CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mostoles CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Mostoles CF have managed 0.73 goals a game lately — AD Alcala are scoring more at 0.81.
  • Model gives AD Alcala a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
AD Alcala Clean Sheet 19%
Mostoles CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Alcala Mostoles CF
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.81 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs Mostoles CF
0:2
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mostoles CF vs AD Alcala
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Alcala 40 / 100
Mostoles CF 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Alcala Mostoles CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mostoles CF let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

AD Alcala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mostoles CF lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Alcala VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Alcala

(Home)
24 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 0
AD Alcala
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Villaviciosa de Odon
2 : 1
AD Alcala
13 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 0
AD Alcala
09 Apr
AD Alcala
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 7

Mostoles CF

(Away)
20 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
3 : 1
Mostoles CF
13 Jun
Mostoles CF
0 : 3
San Fernando de Henares
06 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 0
Mostoles CF
27 May
Mostoles CF
2 : 0
Santa Ana
23 May
AD Alcala
0 : 2
Mostoles CF
Page 1 of 6