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AD Alcala vs Villaviciosa de Odon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

AD Alcala host Villaviciosa de Odon in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: AD Alcala at 0.75 goals for, 1.38 against; Villaviciosa de Odon at 1.38 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, AD Alcala have won 0 to Villaviciosa de Odon's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2022, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.38, favoring Villaviciosa de Odon. Villaviciosa de Odon in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
AD Alcala
33%
Draws
40%
Villaviciosa de Odon
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Villaviciosa de Odon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Villaviciosa de Odon demonstrates higher offensive output (1.38 avg goals) than AD Alcala (0.75 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Villaviciosa de Odon.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
AD Alcala Clean Sheet 17%
Villaviciosa de Odon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Alcala Villaviciosa de Odon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaviciosa de Odon vs AD Alcala
2:1
Feb 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs Villaviciosa de Odon
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Alcala 28 / 100
Villaviciosa de Odon 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Alcala Villaviciosa de Odon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Alcala scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Villaviciosa de Odon let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

AD Alcala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Villaviciosa de Odon lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Alcala VS Villaviciosa de Odon
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid B40298382:2695
2CD Las Rozas40229968:3575
3CDE Madrid402012861:4272
4Alcorcon B401912963:3969
5Paracuellos Antamira401991256:4466
6Ursaria401616847:2764
7RSD Alcala4018101245:4064
8Getafe B4017101356:4661
9Rayo Vallecano B4015121359:4357
10AD Torrejon401691555:4857
11Pozuelo de Alarcon4015121339:4557
12Galapagar401681650:5756
13Trival Valderas4013141340:4253
14Parla4014101646:4652
15Tres Cantos401381941:5247
16Villaverde San Andres401362135:4545
17Moratalaz401272146:7343
18Villaviciosa de Odon401082247:7338
19AD Alcala409102131:5837
20Carabanchel407122143:7033
21Colonia Moscardo40523320:7917