Sport Picks

Brazil

Baiano 2 2013

CE Flamengo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AD Astro play CE Flamengo in the Baiano 2 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, AD Astro averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. CE Flamengo averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, AD Astro won 0, CE Flamengo won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2013 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for AD Astro and 0.86 for CE Flamengo. This points to a CE Flamengo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%

AD Astro

24%

Draws

51%

CE Flamengo

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: CE Flamengo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

AD Astro picked up more points recently compared to CE Flamengo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 55%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

AD Astro Clean Sheet 25%

CE Flamengo Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AD Astro	CE Flamengo
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	11
Draws	7	8
Losses	17	13
Goals Scored	0.8	0.94
Goals Conceded	1.3	1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2013 Baiano 2

AD Astro vs CE Flamengo

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

1:4

Apr 27, 2013 Baiano 2

CE Flamengo vs AD Astro

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 4 - 0

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Astro 28 / 100

CE Flamengo 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AD Astro CE Flamengo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CE Flamengo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +21.4%

3.57

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AD Astro attacking → ← attacking CE Flamengo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Astro scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

CE Flamengo let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

AD Astro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

CE Flamengo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 41

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Galicia	8	4	1	3	10:9	13
2	Catuense	8	4	1	3	9:8	13
3	Camacari	8	4	1	3	10:12	13
4	EC Ypiranga	8	3	2	3	13:7	11
5	Ipitanga	8	2	1	5	7:13	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Itabuna	8	5	0	3	11:5	15
2	CE Flamengo	8	4	2	2	13:9	14
3	Colo Colo	8	4	1	3	11:8	13
4	Jequie	8	2	3	3	9:13	9
5	AD Astro	8	1	2	5	5:14	5