Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Astro W vs Vitoria W

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Astro W in this Baiano Women 2023 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
AD Astro W
15%
Draws
42%
Vitoria W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Astro W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria W lately — more wins on the board than AD Astro W.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Vitoria W taking it.
  • Vitoria W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AD Astro W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AD Astro W Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Astro W Vitoria W
Matches Played 17 43
Wins 11 22
Draws 0 4
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.88 2.86
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.51
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2023 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs AD Astro W
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Baiano Women
AD Astro W vs Vitoria W
2:1
Aug 5, 2023 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs AD Astro W
3:1
Oct 12, 2022 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs AD Astro W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Astro W 10 / 100
Vitoria W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Astro W Vitoria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Astro W scored in 88% of their last 17 games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Vitoria W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 43 outings.

AD Astro W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria W
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Astro W

(Home)
16 Sept
Vitoria W
1 : 0
AD Astro W
10 Sept
AD Astro W
2 : 1
Vitoria W
02 Sept
AD Astro W
3 : 0
Jacuipense W
26 Aug
Alagoinhas W
1 : 2
AD Astro W
23 Aug
AD Astro W
7 : 0
Redencao W
Page 1 of 4

Vitoria W

(Away)
26 Sept
Vitoria W
10 : 0
CFFB W
19 Sept
Vitoria W
13 : 0
Camacariense W
12 Sept
Jequie W
0 : 6
Vitoria W
05 Sept
Vitoria W
3 : 0
Galicia W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
AD Astro W 2
Vitoria W 2
Lusaca W 0
Bahia W 13
Final
Vitoria W 1
Bahia W 2