Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Amadense in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amadense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Boquinhense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Amadense lately — more wins on the board than AD Boquinhense.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on AD Boquinhense taking it.
- Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Amadense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AD Boquinhense Clean Sheet 14%
Amadense Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Boquinhense | Amadense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2025 Sergipano 3
Amadense vs AD Boquinhense
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Sergipano 2
Amadense vs AD Boquinhense
3:1
Sep 4, 2024 Sergipano 2
AD Boquinhense vs Amadense
3:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Boquinhense 66 / 100
Amadense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Boquinhense Amadense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AD Boquinhense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Amadense conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: AD Boquinhense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: Amadense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AD Boquinhense VS Amadense
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Boquinhense
(Home) 11 Oct
AD Boquinhense
3 : 0 Riachao
05 Oct
Sete de Junho
2 : 0 AD Boquinhense
28 Sept
AD Boquinhense
0 : 3 Estanciano EC
21 Sept
CS Maruinense
1 : 1 AD Boquinhense
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1 AD Boquinhense
Page 1 of 3
11 Oct
AD Boquinhense
3 : 0 Riachao
28 Sept
AD Boquinhense
0 : 3 Estanciano EC
13 Sept
AD Boquinhense
1 : 2 Botafogo ASF
09 Oct
AD Boquinhense
0 : 2 Independente SE
25 Sept
AD Boquinhense
0 : 3 America de Pedrinhas
Page 1 of 2
Amadense
(Away) 12 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 1 Amadense
05 Oct
Amadense
0 : 1 CS Maruinense
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0 Amadense
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0 Riachao
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1 AD Boquinhense
Page 1 of 6
12 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 1 Amadense
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0 Amadense
14 Sept
Sete de Junho
4 : 0 Amadense
02 Oct
Independente SE
2 : 2 Amadense
22 Sept
America de Pedrinhas
4 : 1 Amadense
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SE | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:1 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico Central | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Aracaju FC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 4 | CS Maruinense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorro | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:19 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desportiva Aracaju | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Barra SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz SE | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 4 | Cotinguiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorrense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1:18 | 4 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Pedrinhas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Independente SE | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Riachao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Amadense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 5 | AD Boquinhense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frei Paulistano | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Boca Junior | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Estanciano EC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 4 | Sete de Junho | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 5 | Botafogo ASF | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarany SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Caninde | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Forca Jovem Aquidaba | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Propria | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 5 | Coritiba SE | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:30 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
