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AD Boquinhense vs Riachao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Riachao in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riachao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
AD Boquinhense
20%
Draws
10%
Riachao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Boquinhense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Riachao lately — more wins on the board than AD Boquinhense.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on AD Boquinhense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
AD Boquinhense Clean Sheet 17%
Riachao Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Boquinhense Riachao
Matches Played 14 14
Wins 2 3
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.79 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Sergipano 3
AD Boquinhense vs Riachao
3:0
Sep 22, 2024 Sergipano 2
Riachao vs AD Boquinhense
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Sergipano 2
AD Boquinhense vs Riachao
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Boquinhense 84 / 100
Riachao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Boquinhense Riachao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Boquinhense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riachao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 14 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

AD Boquinhense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Riachao's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Boquinhense VS Riachao
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Boquinhense

(Home)
11 Oct
AD Boquinhense
3 : 0
Riachao
05 Oct
Sete de Junho
2 : 0
AD Boquinhense
28 Sept
AD Boquinhense
0 : 3
Estanciano EC
21 Sept
CS Maruinense
1 : 1
AD Boquinhense
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1
AD Boquinhense
Page 1 of 3

Riachao

(Away)
11 Oct
AD Boquinhense
3 : 0
Riachao
05 Oct
Riachao
0 : 3
Estanciano EC
02 Oct
CS Maruinense
1 : 0
Riachao
28 Sept
Riachao
2 : 2
Botafogo ASF
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0
Riachao
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)