Sport Picks

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AD Cantolao vs San Marcos

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Moyano D.
10' Event
Delgado V.
27' Event
Guzman C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between AD Cantolao and San Marcos finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Cantolao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
AD Cantolao
30%
Draws
0%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Cantolao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • AD Cantolao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AD Cantolao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AD Cantolao have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
AD Cantolao Clean Sheet 68%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Cantolao San Marcos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.24 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Liga 2
San Marcos vs AD Cantolao
0:3
Apr 3, 2026 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs San Marcos
5:1
Sep 8, 2024 Liga 2
San Marcos vs AD Cantolao
0:1
Aug 12, 2024 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs San Marcos
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Cantolao Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Delgado V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

San Marcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzman C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Cantolao 95 / 100
San Marcos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Cantolao San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Cantolao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: San Marcos registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: AD Cantolao scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AD Cantolao VS San Marcos
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Cantolao

(Home)
25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2
Llacuabamba
29 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0
AD Cantolao
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1
Pirata
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San Marcos

(Away)
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
San Marcos
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
Carlos Mannucci
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0
San Marcos
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)