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AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Miguel Grau
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Olmedo A.
5'
Laura A.
31'
Arteaga A.

AI Match Summary

AD Cantolao in this Liga 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Cantolao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
AD Cantolao
6%
Draws
90%
U. San Martin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: U. San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • U. San Martin has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to AD Cantolao.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for U. San Martin.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga 2 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
AD Cantolao Clean Sheet 15%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Cantolao U. San Martin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Copa de la Liga
AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin
4:3
May 31, 2026 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin
0:4
Sep 7, 2025 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs AD Cantolao
0:1
May 25, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs AD Cantolao
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Cantolao Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

U. San Martin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Cantolao 10 / 100
U. San Martin 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Cantolao U. San Martin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Cantolao scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

U. San Martin let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

AD Cantolao went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

U. San Martin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Cantolao VS U. San Martin
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%