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AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Hugo Sotil (Villa el Salvador), Lima
AD Cantolao Logo

AD Cantolao

4 - 3
FT
U. San Martin Logo

U. San Martin

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Olmedo A.
26' Event
Carranza L.
45' Event
Cuba R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. This leg finished 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
AD Cantolao
30%
Draws
41%
U. San Martin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: U. San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • U. San Martin have won more games recently than AD Cantolao.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • U. San Martin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AD Cantolao, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AD Cantolao Clean Sheet 14%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Cantolao U. San Martin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs AD Cantolao
2:2
Jun 20, 2026 Copa de la Liga
AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin
4:3
May 31, 2026 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin
0:4
Sep 7, 2025 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs AD Cantolao
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Cantolao Compare

Top Goalscorer Lara F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Olmedo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

U. San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuba R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Cantolao 30 / 100
U. San Martin 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Cantolao U. San Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Cantolao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

AD Cantolao's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

U. San Martin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

AD Cantolao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Cantolao VS U. San Martin
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Cantolao

(Home)
07 Oct
AD Cantolao
0 : 3
Santos FC
25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2
Llacuabamba
29 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0
AD Cantolao
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U. San Martin

(Away)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Atl. 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Carlos Mannucci 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 A. Lima 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Cesar Vallejo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Juan Pablo II 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
3 Comerciantes Unidos 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cajamarca 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Llacuabamba 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 FC Cajamarca 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Grau 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 Pirata 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Universitario de Deportes 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 AD Tarma 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Alianza Huanuco 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Union Minas 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Binacional 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Cusco 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Chankas 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Santos FC 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Ayacucho 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moquegua 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Tacna Heroica 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 FBC Melgar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Boys 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 AD Cantolao 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 U. San Martin 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Comerciantes FC 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Union Comercio 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Estudiantil CNI 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)