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AD Cartaya vs Bollullos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Chacon P.
27' Event
Merino Pineda L.
33' Event
Fran Palma

AI Match Summary

Bollullos in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bollullos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
AD Cartaya
20%
Draws
32%
Bollullos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Cartaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bollullos lately — more wins on the board than AD Cartaya.
  • Win probability leans Bollullos's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
AD Cartaya Clean Sheet 20%
Bollullos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Cartaya Bollullos
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Bollullos
2:3
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Bollullos vs AD Cartaya
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Bollullos vs AD Cartaya
2:2
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Bollullos
0:0
Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Bollullos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Cartaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Fran Palma
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bollullos Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacon P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merino Pineda L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Cartaya 28 / 100
Bollullos 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Cartaya Bollullos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bollullos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bollullos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Bollullos registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

AD Cartaya's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bollullos
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Cartaya

(Home)
11 May
AD Cartaya
1 : 0
AD Ceuta B
04 May
Conil
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
01 May
AD Cartaya
0 : 2
CD Utrera
27 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
11 Apr
AD Cartaya
2 : 3
Bollullos
Page 1 of 6

Bollullos

(Away)
04 Oct
Egabrense
2 : 2
Bollullos
27 Sept
Bollullos
1 : 2
San Roque de Lepe
19 Sept
Xerez Deportivo FC
1 : 0
Bollullos
13 Sept
Bollullos
3 : 3
Betis C
06 Sept
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
2 : 0
Bollullos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puente Genil 34 20 11 3 63:24 71
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 21 5 8 49:20 68
3 CD Utrera 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
4 Atletico Central 34 17 8 9 46:27 59
5 Tomares UD 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Bollullos 34 16 6 12 41:34 54
7 Pozoblanco 34 14 10 10 41:36 52
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 San Roque de Lepe 34 12 10 12 29:31 46
10 AD Ceuta B 34 11 13 10 41:38 46
11 Cordoba B 34 10 15 9 34:36 45
12 Conil 34 12 8 14 41:40 44
13 Sevilla C 34 10 11 13 32:40 41
14 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 34:48 36
15 AD Cartaya 34 8 11 15 31:53 35
16 La Palma CF 34 6 11 17 33:57 29
17 Atletico Espeleno 34 5 10 19 30:57 25
18 Inter Sevilla 34 3 7 24 25:70 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 (Play Offs)