Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Cartaya vs La Palma CF Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Cazorla A.
49' Event
Arana D.
61' Event
Cazorla A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AD Cartaya
15%
Draws
49%
La Palma CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Palma CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Cartaya have won more games recently than La Palma CF.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on La Palma CF taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AD Cartaya Clean Sheet 17%
La Palma CF Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Cartaya La Palma CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs La Palma CF
3:3
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
La Palma CF vs AD Cartaya
0:2
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
La Palma CF vs AD Cartaya
1:2
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs La Palma CF
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Cartaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerpa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

La Palma CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Cazorla A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arana D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Cartaya 20 / 100
La Palma CF 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Cartaya La Palma CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Palma CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: La Palma CF conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

La Palma CF's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: AD Cartaya scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

AD Cartaya VS La Palma CF
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Cartaya

(Home)
11 May
AD Cartaya
1 : 0
AD Ceuta B
04 May
Conil
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
01 May
AD Cartaya
0 : 2
CD Utrera
27 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
11 Apr
AD Cartaya
2 : 3
Bollullos
Page 1 of 6

La Palma CF

(Away)
09 May
La Palma CF
1 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
04 May
Atletico Central
2 : 2
La Palma CF
01 May
Tomares UD
3 : 1
La Palma CF
27 Apr
La Palma CF
0 : 1
Puente Genil
13 Apr
Coria C.F.
0 : 1
La Palma CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puente Genil 34 20 11 3 63:24 71
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 21 5 8 49:20 68
3 CD Utrera 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
4 Atletico Central 34 17 8 9 46:27 59
5 Tomares UD 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Bollullos 34 16 6 12 41:34 54
7 Pozoblanco 34 14 10 10 41:36 52
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 San Roque de Lepe 34 12 10 12 29:31 46
10 AD Ceuta B 34 11 13 10 41:38 46
11 Cordoba B 34 10 15 9 34:36 45
12 Conil 34 12 8 14 41:40 44
13 Sevilla C 34 10 11 13 32:40 41
14 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 34:48 36
15 AD Cartaya 34 8 11 15 31:53 35
16 La Palma CF 34 6 11 17 33:57 29
17 Atletico Espeleno 34 5 10 19 30:57 25
18 Inter Sevilla 34 3 7 24 25:70 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 (Play Offs)