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AD Ceuta B vs AD Cartaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025
AD Ceuta B Logo

AD Ceuta B

1 - 1
FT
AD Cartaya Logo

AD Cartaya

Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Heredia J. P. A.
90' Event
Bravo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 game between AD Ceuta B and AD Cartaya finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
AD Ceuta B
15%
Draws
36%
AD Cartaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Ceuta B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Ceuta B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AD Ceuta B a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 68%
AD Cartaya Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta B AD Cartaya
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs AD Ceuta B
1:0
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs AD Cartaya
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs AD Cartaya
3:0
Oct 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs AD Ceuta B
0:0
Jan 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs AD Cartaya
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Heredia J. P. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

AD Cartaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Bravo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta B 50 / 100
AD Cartaya 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta B AD Cartaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Ceuta B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta B scored in 66% of their last 35 games.

AD Cartaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Away concern: AD Cartaya has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta B VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta B

(Home)
03 Oct
Dos Hermanas
5 : 0
AD Ceuta B
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 7

AD Cartaya

(Away)
11 May
AD Cartaya
1 : 0
AD Ceuta B
04 May
Conil
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
01 May
AD Cartaya
0 : 2
CD Utrera
27 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
11 Apr
AD Cartaya
2 : 3
Bollullos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puente Genil 34 20 11 3 63:24 71
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 21 5 8 49:20 68
3 CD Utrera 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
4 Atletico Central 34 17 8 9 46:27 59
5 Tomares UD 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Bollullos 34 16 6 12 41:34 54
7 Pozoblanco 34 14 10 10 41:36 52
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 San Roque de Lepe 34 12 10 12 29:31 46
10 AD Ceuta B 34 11 13 10 41:38 46
11 Cordoba B 34 10 15 9 34:36 45
12 Conil 34 12 8 14 41:40 44
13 Sevilla C 34 10 11 13 32:40 41
14 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 34:48 36
15 AD Cartaya 34 8 11 15 31:53 35
16 La Palma CF 34 6 11 17 33:57 29
17 Atletico Espeleno 34 5 10 19 30:57 25
18 Inter Sevilla 34 3 7 24 25:70 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 (Play Offs)