Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Guzman G.
42'
42'
Ibanez F.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between AD Ceuta B and Bollullos finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bollullos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and AD Ceuta B come out ahead of Bollullos on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 68%
Bollullos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Ceuta B | Bollullos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Bollullos
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Bollullos vs AD Ceuta B
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Bollullos vs AD Ceuta B
2:0
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Bollullos
3:1
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Bollullos vs AD Ceuta B
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Ceuta B Compare
Top Goalscorer Guzman G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Bollullos Compare
Top Goalscorer Ibanez F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Ceuta B 41 / 100
Bollullos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Ceuta B Bollullos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CEU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Ceuta B scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Bollullos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: AD Ceuta B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AD Ceuta B VS Bollullos
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Ceuta B
(Home) 04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0 AD Ceuta B
23 May
Dos Hermanas
4 : 2 AD Ceuta B
17 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2 Dos Hermanas
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1 AD Ceuta B
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2 Castilleja CF
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17 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2 Dos Hermanas
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2 Castilleja CF
12 Apr
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1 Cordoba B
28 Mar
AD Ceuta B
1 : 0 Conil
14 Mar
AD Ceuta B
1 : 1 CD Utrera
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Bollullos
(Away) 23 May
Atletico Central
2 : 0 Bollullos
17 May
Bollullos
1 : 0 Atletico Central
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2 CD Utrera
03 May
Dos Hermanas
1 : 2 Bollullos
26 Apr
Bollullos
2 : 2 Cadiz B
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23 May
Atletico Central
2 : 0 Bollullos
03 May
Dos Hermanas
1 : 2 Bollullos
18 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Bollullos
28 Mar
Linense
2 : 0 Bollullos
15 Mar
Pozoblanco
0 : 0 Bollullos
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 69:25 | 73 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 69:39 | 60 |
| 3 | Atletico Central | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 36:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 43:35 | 53 |
| 5 | AD Ceuta B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 38:38 | 52 |
| 6 | Linense | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 45:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Cadiz B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 50:38 | 52 |
| 8 | Conil | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:44 | 52 |
| 9 | Cordoba B | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44:44 | 44 |
| 10 | CD Utrera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:47 | 44 |
| 11 | Pozoblanco | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:44 | 43 |
| 12 | Chiclana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | San Roque de Lepe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36:43 | 40 |
| 15 | Tomares UD | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Sevilla C | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 34:41 | 38 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:62 | 27 |
| 18 | Coria C.F. | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:59 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
