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AD Ceuta B vs Conil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Ceuta B host Conil in the Tercera RFEF - Group 10. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: AD Ceuta B at 0.9 goals for, 1.4 against; Conil at 1.17 for, 1.2 against. Head-to-head, AD Ceuta B have won 4 to Conil's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.25) point toward Conil. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
AD Ceuta B
15%
Draws
51%
Conil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Conil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Conil are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AD Ceuta B have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 19%
Conil Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta B Conil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Conil
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs AD Ceuta B
0:2
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Conil
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs AD Ceuta B
0:1
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs AD Ceuta B
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta B 28 / 100
Conil 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta B Conil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta B scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Conil let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Conil's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta B VS Conil
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta B

(Home)
03 Oct
Dos Hermanas
5 : 0
AD Ceuta B
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 6

Conil

(Away)
04 Oct
Conil
2 : 0
Cordoba B
30 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Conil
27 Sept
Linense
3 : 1
Conil
20 Sept
Conil
0 : 2
Cadiz B
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dos Hermanas 5 4 1 0 13:2 13
2 CD Utrera 5 4 0 1 7:5 12
3 Betis C 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
4 Portuense 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
5 Pozoblanco 5 3 0 2 8:4 9
6 Egabrense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
7 Chiclana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Tomares UD 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
9 San Roque de Lepe 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Xerez Deportivo FC 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 Linense 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
12 Conil 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
13 Cadiz B 5 1 2 2 4:4 5
14 Sevilla C 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
15 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
16 AD Ceuta B 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
17 Bollullos 5 0 2 3 6:10 2
18 Cordoba B 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)