Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Ceuta B vs Coria C.F.

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Fernandez F. G.
72'
Romero D.
72'
Romero D.

AI Match Summary

AD Ceuta B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Ceuta B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AD Ceuta B
30%
Draws
39%
Coria C.F.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coria C.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Ceuta B lately — more wins on the board than Coria C.F..
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AD Ceuta B have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 68%
Coria C.F. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta B Coria C.F.
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.07 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs AD Ceuta B
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Coria C.F.
2:0
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Coria C.F.
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs AD Ceuta B
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Coria C.F.
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez F. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cobo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Coria C.F. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta B 41 / 100
Coria C.F. 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta B Coria C.F.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Ceuta B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coria C.F.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: AD Ceuta B scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: AD Ceuta B stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta B VS Coria C.F.
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta B

(Home)
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0
AD Ceuta B
23 May
Dos Hermanas
4 : 2
AD Ceuta B
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Coria C.F.

(Away)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 2
Tomares UD
25 Apr
Coria C.F.
0 : 2
AD Ceuta B
19 Apr
Cordoba B
4 : 0
Coria C.F.
12 Apr
Coria C.F.
1 : 1
Chiclana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)