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AD Ceuta vs Albacete

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
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Match Events

17' Event
Fernandez Sanchez M.
Assist: Bassinga A.
46'
Lachhab Didi Y.
48'
Fernandez Sanchez M.

AI Match Summary

AD Ceuta in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Ceuta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AD Ceuta
15%
Draws
34%
Albacete
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Ceuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Albacete at 1.31 per game, AD Ceuta at 1.24.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 16%
Albacete Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta Albacete
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Albacete
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 LaLiga2
Albacete vs AD Ceuta
0:0
Oct 27, 2004 Copa del Rey
AD Ceuta vs Albacete
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Ceuta Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Sanchez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Albacete Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta 31 / 100
Albacete 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta Albacete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Ceuta scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Albacete's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Albacete has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 0.67 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta VS Albacete
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta

(Home)
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Las Palmas
15 Aug
FC Andorra
5 : 1
AD Ceuta
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1
Malaga
29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3
AD Ceuta
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1
AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 6

Albacete

(Away)
22 Aug
Albacete
1 : 2
Real Sociedad B
16 Aug
Las Palmas
2 : 1
Albacete
08 Aug
Albacete
1 : 1
Murcia
07 Aug
Albacete
1 : 0
Eldense
01 Aug
Levante
2 : 1
Albacete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)