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AD Ceuta vs Sabadell - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Ceuta host Sabadell in the LaLiga2. Little to choose between these two on current form. AD Ceuta have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Sabadell's 1.47 scored and 0.89 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.69, favoring Sabadell. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
AD Ceuta
20%
Draws
57%
Sabadell
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sabadell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AD Ceuta haven't matched Sabadell's recent run of results.
  • Model gives AD Ceuta a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 13%
Sabadell Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Ceuta Sabadell
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.18 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Ceuta 35 / 100
Sabadell 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Ceuta Sabadell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Ceuta scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Sabadell let in goals in 53% of their last 36 matches.

AD Ceuta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sabadell's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Ceuta VS Sabadell
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Ceuta

(Home)
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1
Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1
Valladolid
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0
AD Ceuta
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Sabadell

(Away)
26 Sept
Celta Vigo B
1 : 1
Sabadell
20 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 1
Real Oviedo
13 Sept
Mallorca
2 : 0
Sabadell
07 Sept
Sabadell
3 : 2
Cordoba
29 Aug
Sabadell
1 : 0
Almeria
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon 7 6 1 0 14:2 19
2 Eibar 7 6 0 1 15:6 18
3 Almeria 7 5 0 2 11:4 15
4 Burgos CF 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
5 Girona 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Mallorca 7 4 1 2 8:3 13
7 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Real Oviedo 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
9 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
10 Leganes 7 3 2 2 6:7 11
11 Las Palmas 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
12 Gijon 7 3 1 3 5:6 10
13 Granada CF 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
15 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
16 Celta Vigo B 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
17 Valladolid 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
18 FC Andorra 7 2 0 5 12:15 6
19 Cordoba 7 2 0 5 10:16 6
20 Cadiz 7 0 4 3 7:10 4
21 AD Ceuta 7 1 1 5 6:17 4
22 Albacete 7 0 1 6 4:12 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)