Sport Picks
AD Ceuta vs Valladolid - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
LaLiga2 Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta 
Match Events
12'
12'
Latasa J.
31'
31'
Hernandez C.
46'
46'
Sub
Betancourt A. In: Abad J.
Out: Betancourt A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this LaLiga2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Valladolid
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Valladolid have won more games recently than AD Ceuta.
- Model gives Valladolid a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Valladolid here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 12%
Valladolid Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Ceuta | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Valladolid
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Valladolid
0:3
Aug 15, 2025 LaLiga2
Valladolid vs AD Ceuta
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Ceuta Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Valladolid Compare
Top Goalscorer Latasa J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Ceuta 22 / 100
Valladolid 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Ceuta Valladolid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valladolid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Ceuta found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Valladolid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Solid form: AD Ceuta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AD Ceuta VS Valladolid
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Ceuta
(Home) 04 Oct
Castellon
1 : 1 AD Ceuta
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1 Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1 Valladolid
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1 AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
AD Ceuta
3 : 1 Real Sociedad B
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1 Valladolid
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Celta Vigo B
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Las Palmas
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1 Malaga
Page 1 of 3
Valladolid
(Away) 04 Oct
Las Palmas
2 : 2 Valladolid
27 Sept
Valladolid
3 : 1 Cordoba
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1 Valladolid
13 Sept
Valladolid
0 : 3 Real Oviedo
05 Sept
Valladolid
1 : 0 FC Andorra
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Las Palmas
2 : 2 Valladolid
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1 Valladolid
30 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 1 Valladolid
23 Aug
Eibar
1 : 0 Valladolid
15 Aug
Mallorca
2 : 0 Valladolid
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Castellon | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:3 | 20 |
| 3 | Almeria | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 18 |
| 4 | Girona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 6 | Burgos CF | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Sabadell | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 8 | Gijon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 9 | Granada CF | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Leganes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Valladolid | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 8 |
| 17 | Eldense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 18 | Celta Vigo B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 7 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:15 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:18 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
