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AD Colmenar vs Atl. Madrid C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 game between AD Colmenar and Atl. Madrid C finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Colmenar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
AD Colmenar
20%
Draws
42%
Atl. Madrid C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid C carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AD Colmenar a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
AD Colmenar Clean Sheet 15%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Colmenar Atl. Madrid C
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.33 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Atl. Madrid C
2:0
Sep 7, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs AD Colmenar
5:1
Feb 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Atl. Madrid C
2:2
Oct 6, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs AD Colmenar
1:0
Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atl. Madrid C vs AD Colmenar
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Colmenar 39 / 100
Atl. Madrid C 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Colmenar Atl. Madrid C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Colmenar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atl. Madrid C conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: AD Colmenar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

AD Colmenar's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atl. Madrid C
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Colmenar

(Home)
21 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
23 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 1
Moratalaz
13 May
AD Colmenar
4 : 0
San Agustin
06 May
Leganes B
3 : 3
AD Colmenar
02 May
AD Colmenar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
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Atl. Madrid C

(Away)
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2
Conquense
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 38 21 8 9 67:38 71
2 Navalcarnero 38 18 10 10 43:37 64
3 Mexico 38 17 13 8 59:39 64
4 Union Adarve 38 17 12 9 40:31 63
5 Alcorcon B 38 17 12 9 57:41 63
6 San Sebastian Reyes 38 18 8 12 47:32 62
7 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 12 10 48:42 60
8 RSD Alcala 38 13 17 8 41:29 56
9 Real Madrid C 38 16 7 15 50:40 55
10 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 16 6 16 46:45 54
11 Parla 38 14 11 13 47:39 53
12 Atletico Pinto 38 15 7 16 44:42 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 14 7 17 53:66 49
14 Puerta Bonita 38 12 11 15 42:44 47
15 CD Mostoles 38 11 13 14 44:46 46
16 San Fernando de Henares 38 9 17 12 35:42 44
17 Siello 38 10 13 15 37:51 43
18 Alcobendas 38 7 15 16 35:49 36
19 AD Colmenar 38 10 5 23 35:65 35
20 AD Torrejon 38 6 2 30 22:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)