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AD Colmenar vs Vicalvaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2013/2014 game between AD Colmenar and Vicalvaro finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
AD Colmenar
20%
Draws
17%
Vicalvaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Colmenar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Vicalvaro haven't matched AD Colmenar's recent run of results.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on AD Colmenar taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AD Colmenar Clean Sheet 20%
Vicalvaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Colmenar Vicalvaro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.33 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Vicalvaro
2:2
Sep 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Vicalvaro vs AD Colmenar
1:2
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Vicalvaro
3:0
Oct 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Vicalvaro vs AD Colmenar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Colmenar 85 / 100
Vicalvaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Colmenar Vicalvaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Colmenar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vicalvaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

AD Colmenar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: AD Colmenar scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

AD Colmenar VS Vicalvaro
2 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Colmenar

(Home)
21 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
23 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 1
Moratalaz
13 May
AD Colmenar
4 : 0
San Agustin
06 May
Leganes B
3 : 3
AD Colmenar
02 May
AD Colmenar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 6

Vicalvaro

(Away)
15 Aug
Vicalvaro
0 : 3
Carabanchel
19 May
Vicalvaro
0 : 1
RSD Alcala
12 May
Santa Ana
6 : 2
Vicalvaro
05 May
Vicalvaro
1 : 0
Alcorcon B
28 Apr
Tres Cantos
1 : 0
Vicalvaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trival Valderas 42 24 11 7 65:33 83
2 Rayo Vallecano B 42 25 6 11 86:50 81
3 Union Adarve 42 23 12 7 60:30 81
4 San Sebastian Reyes 42 23 11 8 68:31 80
5 DUX Internacional de Madrid 42 25 5 12 69:46 80
6 Pozuelo de Alarcon 42 19 14 9 60:37 71
7 Rayo Majadahonda 42 20 9 13 71:57 69
8 San Fernando de Henares 42 18 13 11 58:40 67
9 RSD Alcala 42 18 13 11 50:32 67
10 Parla 42 16 15 11 52:50 63
11 Mexico 42 15 11 16 46:49 56
12 AD Colmenar 42 14 13 15 63:70 55
13 Alcorcon B 42 15 6 21 65:67 51
14 Atl. Madrid C 42 13 11 18 56:62 50
15 Atletico Pinto 42 12 14 16 58:61 50
16 AD Torrejon 42 13 11 18 56:64 50
17 Collado Villalba 42 10 15 17 37:56 45
18 Aravaca CF 42 10 12 20 44:65 42
19 Real Aranjuez 42 9 7 26 43:82 34
20 Carabanchel 42 5 16 21 33:68 31
21 Vicalvaro 42 5 13 24 22:65 28
22 Los Yebenes San Bruno 42 6 10 26 43:90 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)