Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Lobo D.
22'
22'
Costa G.
23'
23'
Noro J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Braga B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Braga B haven't matched AD Fafe's recent run of results.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 68%
Braga B Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Fafe | Braga B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Liga 3
Braga B vs AD Fafe
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs Braga B
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs Braga B
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 Liga 3
Braga B vs AD Fafe
1:0
Jan 5, 2025 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs Braga B
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Fafe Compare
Top Goalscorer Teixeira L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castro D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Braga B Compare
Top Goalscorer Goncalves J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pascoal F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Fafe 41 / 100
Braga B 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Fafe Braga B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Fafe's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Braga B let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: AD Fafe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AD Fafe VS Braga B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Fafe
(Home) 20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0 Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1 AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3 AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0 Lajense
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
09 Aug
AD Fafe
0 : 0 SC Vianense
31 Jul
AD Fafe
2 : 0 Maria de Fonte
28 Apr
AD Fafe
1 : 2 Sao Joao de Ver
Page 1 of 3
Braga B
(Away) 13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4 Braga B
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2 CDC Montalegre
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0 Braga B
16 Aug
Braga B
2 : 1 Maia Lidador
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Braga B
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4 Braga B
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0 Braga B
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Braga B
25 Jul
Vizela
2 : 3 Braga B
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2 Braga B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 29 |
| 2 | Amarante FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 29 |
| 3 | Trofense | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Varzim | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Paredes | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga B | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11:26 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20:32 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 28:19 | 34 |
| 3 | Academica | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:18 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:14 | 25 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Amora | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17:23 | 21 |
| 9 | 1º Dezembro | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 17 |
| 10 | Covilha | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10:24 | 14 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
