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AD Fafe vs Ninense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014
AD Fafe Logo

AD Fafe

1 - 1
FT
Ninense Logo

Ninense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 game between AD Fafe and Ninense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
AD Fafe
35%
Draws
24%
Ninense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • AD Fafe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on AD Fafe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 20%
Ninense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Fafe Ninense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.45 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ninense vs AD Fafe
2:1
Feb 23, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Fafe vs Ninense
1:1
Dec 15, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ninense vs AD Fafe
0:1
Sep 28, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Fafe vs Ninense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Fafe 76 / 100
Ninense 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Fafe Ninense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ninense conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

AD Fafe found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

AD Fafe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AD Fafe VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Fafe

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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Ninense

(Away)
24 May
Ninense
1 : 1
Valenciano
11 May
Santa Maria FC
1 : 1
Ninense
04 May
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 0
Ninense
27 Apr
Ninense
1 : 0
SC Mirandela
19 Apr
Pedras Salgadas
1 : 1
Ninense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 14 8 4 2 20:9 39
2 AD Fafe 14 6 4 4 20:14 39
3 SC Vianense 14 6 6 2 19:13 37
4 SC Mirandela 14 4 7 3 18:13 34
5 Santa Maria FC 14 5 5 4 15:15 31
6 Pedras Salgadas 14 3 6 5 12:15 23
7 Ninense 14 3 5 6 12:19 18
8 Valenciano 14 1 3 10 11:29 17
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)