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AD Fafe vs Paredes

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe, Fafe
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Erik
30'
Ribeiro Oliveira J.
57'
Carvalho D.

AI Match Summary

AD Fafe in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Fafe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
AD Fafe
39%
Draws
31%
Paredes
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Fafe lately — more wins on the board than Paredes.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 68%
Paredes Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Fafe Paredes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs Paredes
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 Liga 3
Paredes vs AD Fafe
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Liga 3
AD Fafe vs Paredes
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Liga 3
Paredes vs AD Fafe
1:1
Jan 28, 2023 Liga 3
Paredes vs AD Fafe
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Fafe 41 / 100
Paredes 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Fafe Paredes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Fafe's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: AD Fafe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Paredes has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AD Fafe VS Paredes
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Fafe

(Home)
18 Jul
Sanjoanense
0 : 1
AD Fafe
15 Jul
Chaves
4 : 1
AD Fafe
11 Jul
Vizela
0 : 3
AD Fafe
03 May
Braga B
0 : 0
AD Fafe
28 Apr
AD Fafe
1 : 2
Sao Joao de Ver
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Paredes

(Away)
22 Jul
AFS
2 : 4
Paredes
18 Jul
Santa Clara
2 : 0
Paredes
03 May
Paredes
2 : 2
AD Marco 09
26 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Paredes
18 Apr
Paredes
0 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
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