Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Fafe vs Rio Ave B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2020/2021
AD Fafe Logo

AD Fafe

3 - 1
FT
Rio Ave B Logo

Rio Ave B

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2020/2021 game between AD Fafe and Rio Ave B finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Fafe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
AD Fafe
15%
Draws
32%
Rio Ave B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Fafe come out ahead of Rio Ave B on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on AD Fafe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Ave B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Fafe Rio Ave B
Matches Played 34 19
Wins 20 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.59 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
AD Fafe vs Rio Ave B
3:1
Nov 30, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Rio Ave B vs AD Fafe
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Fafe 95 / 100
Rio Ave B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Fafe Rio Ave B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Fafe scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AD Fafe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Rio Ave B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Fafe VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Fafe

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 7

Rio Ave B

(Away)
10 Apr
Rio Ave B
0 : 3
FC Felgueiras
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes B
5 : 1
Rio Ave B
14 Mar
Rio Ave B
5 : 0
Mondinense
07 Mar
Rio Ave B
1 : 0
Berco
28 Feb
AD Fafe
3 : 1
Rio Ave B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pevidem 18 9 7 2 27:16 34
2 AD Fafe 18 10 4 4 25:17 34
3 Vitoria Guimaraes B 18 8 8 2 33:14 32
4 FC Felgueiras 18 8 7 3 26:17 31
5 Sao Martinho 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
6 Berco 18 7 5 6 30:27 26
7 Rio Ave B 18 7 4 7 23:23 25
8 Tirsense 18 6 3 9 21:29 21
9 Brito 18 3 5 10 20:31 14
10 Mondinense 18 0 1 17 11:46 1
11 Camacha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Aves 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)