Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2025/2026 Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe, Fafe

AD Fafe

1 - 1

Torreense

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

Ribeiro Oliveira J.

Assist: Braga V.

46'

Sub

Pite In: Guilherme Liberato

Out: Pite

55'

Goncalo J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

AD Fafe

35%

Draws

10%

Torreense

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence

Torreense carry the better recent record into this one.
55% — that's where the model lands on AD Fafe taking it.
Torreense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Torreense have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

AD Fafe Clean Sheet 68%

Torreense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AD Fafe	Torreense
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	14
Draws	8	9
Losses	8	7
Goals Scored	1.31	1.43
Goals Conceded	1	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Taça de Portugal

Torreense vs AD Fafe

2:0

Feb 4, 2026 Taça de Portugal

AD Fafe vs Torreense

1:1

Oct 17, 2021 Taça de Portugal

Torreense vs AD Fafe

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Fafe Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro Oliveira J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Torreense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pozo M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Fafe 95 / 100

Torreense 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AD Fafe Torreense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Fafe went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: AD Fafe scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Torreense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AD Fafe VS Torreense

1.5 Goals Scored 1.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Fafe

(Home)

29 Aug

Pacos Ferreira

0 : 1

AD Fafe

21 Aug

AD Fafe

1 : 1

Vitoria Guimaraes B

16 Aug

Sao Joao de Ver

1 : 3

AD Fafe

09 Aug

AD Fafe

0 : 0

SC Vianense

31 Jul

AD Fafe

2 : 0

Maria de Fonte

Page 1 of 6

Torreense

(Away)

29 Aug

Torreense

0 : 3

Vizela

22 Aug

Lusitania FC

2 : 2

Torreense

15 Aug

Torreense

2 : 2

Penafiel

09 Aug

SC Farense

2 : 1

Torreense

01 Aug

FC Porto

1 : 0

Torreense

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Florgrade 0

SC Espinho 1

TBD -

Almodovar -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Industria 1

Juv. Evora 0

SC Salgueiros 4

AD Pontassolense 2

Trofense 5

Varzim 1

Valenciano 1

SC Vianense 4

GD Os Nazarenos 1

GD Sourense 0

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Moncarapachense 3

Viana Alentejo 0

Castro Daire 1

Anadia 2

Marinhense 2

Samora Correia 1

TBD -

Mosteirense -

Uniao Lamas -

TBD -

Urzelinense 0

Malveira 6

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Carregal do Sal 1

Mortagua FC 2

Academica 0

Os Marialvas 1

Portimonense B -

TBD -

Penafiel -

Fornos de Algodres -

TBD -

Charneca Caparica 1

Montijo 0

TBD -

AFS -

Portalegrense -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Celoricense 1

CD Celeiros 0

TBD -

Mafra -

TBD -

FC Porto -

Sintrense -

TBD -

Vizela -

TBD -

Rio Ave -

CF Os Belenenses 1

Amora 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

TBD -

Estoril -

Sao Joao de Ver -

TBD -

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2

Lagoa 1

TBD -

Famalicao -

Cinfaes 0

AD Marco 09 1

SC Lusitania 0

O Elvas CAD 3

Vidago -

TBD -

SC Farense -

Silves FC -

TBD -

Oliveira Hospital -

Louletano -

TBD -

Operario -

Atletico CP -

TBD -

Rebordosa 2

Leca 0

Sanjoanense -

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Paredes -

TBD -

Chaves -

TBD -

Benfica -

UD Ovarense 7

SC Celoricense 1

TBD -

Covilha -

Uniao Nogueirense -

TBD -

Aguias do Moradal -

CD Lajense 1

Lusitano GC 7

Serpa 3

Portel 0

Fayal 0

Olivais e Moscavide 5

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra -

Oriental 2

GD Alcochetense 1

TBD -

AD Fafe -

TBD -

Moreirense -

Vitoria Sernache -

TBD -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Arouca -

Sao Martinho 1

Machico 2

SC Vila Real 3

Camacha 2

TBD -

Tondela -

Caldas SC 4

AD Portomosense 0

TBD -

Fatima -

Fazendense -

TBD -

SC Mirandela -

GD Braganca -

TBD -

Maria de Fonte 1

Brito 2

TBD -

Braga -

Rebordelo -

TBD -

CD Gouveia 4

Beira Mar 2

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Alpendorada -

TBD -

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Anca -

TBD -

Vinhais -

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Castrense 1

CDR Quarteirense 0

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

GD Resende -

TBD -

Feirense -

Correlha 2

Valpacos 0

TBD -

Torreense -

Vilaverdense FC 0

Desportivo Moncao 1

TBD -

Oliveirense -

AD Limianos -

TBD -

Aparecida 1

Vila Mea 3

Vila Caiz 1

CD Ribeira Brava 0

TBD -

Electrico FC -

Tirsense 1

Amarante FC 2

TBD -

Santarem -

Naval 1893 3

Ac. Fundao 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

GD Peniche 8

Ferreira do Zezere 0

Lajense 0

1º Dezembro 1

SB Castelo Branco -

TBD -

SC Angrense -

Sacavenense 7

CD Rabo Peixe 0

TBD -

Leiria -

TBD -

Alverca -

1/64-finals

SC Espinho 5

Almodovar 1

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Industria 4

SC Salgueiros 2

Trofense 2

SC Vianense 3

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Pacos Ferreira 1

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Moncarapachense 1

Anadia 2

Marinhense 6

Mosteirense 0

Uniao Lamas 2

Malveira 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Mortagua FC 1

Os Marialvas 0

Portimonense B 2

Penafiel 1

Fornos de Algodres 3

Charneca Caparica 1

TBD -

AFS -

Portalegrense 0

Academico Viseu 3

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Celoricense 1

Mafra 0

TBD -

FC Porto -

Sintrense 2

Vizela 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

CF Os Belenenses 2

Maritimo 0

TBD -

Estoril -

Sao Joao de Ver 6

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2

TBD -

Famalicao -

AD Marco 09 1

O Elvas CAD 0

Vidago 0

SC Farense 2

Silves FC 3

Oliveira Hospital 2

Louletano 5

Operario 0

Atletico CP 1

Rebordosa 0

Sanjoanense 0

FC Felgueiras 4

Paredes 0

Chaves 2

TBD -

Benfica -

UD Ovarense 2

Covilha 3

Uniao Nogueirense 1

Aguias do Moradal 0

Lusitano GC 1

Serpa 0

Olivais e Moscavide 2

Uniao Da Serra 0

Oriental 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Moreirense -

Vitoria Sernache 1

Portimonense 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Machico 0

SC Vila Real 2

TBD -

Tondela -

Caldas SC 3

Fatima 0

Fazendense 1

SC Mirandela 2

GD Braganca 5

Brito 0

TBD -

Braga -

Rebordelo 3

CD Gouveia 2

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Alpendorada 7

Estrela Calheta 1

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Anca 3

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Castrense 0

Lusitania FC 5

GD Resende 1

Feirense 0

Correlha 1

Torreense 3

Desportivo Moncao 1

Oliveirense 3

AD Limianos 0

Vila Mea 4

Vila Caiz 3

Electrico FC 2

Amarante FC 2

Santarem 0

Naval 1893 0

Leixoes 1

GD Peniche 4

1º Dezembro 5

SB Castelo Branco 7

SC Angrense 1

Sacavenense 2

Leiria 4

TBD -

Alverca -

1/32-finals

SC Espinho 0

Santa Clara 1

Industria 3

SC Vianense 0

Pacos Ferreira 2

Sporting CP 3

Anadia 0

Marinhense 1

Uniao Lamas 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Mortagua FC 2

Portimonense B 0

Fornos de Algodres 0

AFS 7

Academico Viseu 2

Gil Vicente 1

Celoricense 0

FC Porto 4

Sintrense 3

Rio Ave 2

CF Os Belenenses 1

Estoril 2

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Famalicao 3

AD Marco 09 0

SC Farense 3

Silves FC 2

Louletano 1

Atletico CP 2

FC Felgueiras 0

Chaves 0

Benfica 2

Covilha 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

Lusitano GC 4

Olivais e Moscavide 1

AD Fafe 1

Moreirense 0

Portimonense 1

Arouca 2

SC Vila Real 1

Tondela 5

Caldas SC 1

SC Mirandela 0

GD Braganca 0

Braga 1

Rebordelo 1

Nacional 3

FC Alpendorada 3

Estrela da Amadora 1

Anca 0

Casa Pia 3

Lusitania FC 2

GD Resende 0

Torreense 2

Oliveirense 1

Vila Mea 1

Vila Caiz 0

Amarante FC 1

Leixoes 2

1º Dezembro 2

SB Castelo Branco 1

Leiria 3

Alverca 2

1/16-finals

Santa Clara 3

Industria 0

Sporting CP 3

Marinhense 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 4

Mortagua FC 0

AFS 1

Academico Viseu 0

FC Porto 3

Sintrense 0

Estoril 1

Famalicao 2

SC Farense 5

Silves FC 1

Atletico CP 0

Benfica 2

Covilha 0

Lusitano GC 2

AD Fafe 2

Arouca 1

Tondela 0

Caldas SC 1

Braga 4

Nacional 2

FC Alpendorada 0

Casa Pia 3

Lusitania FC 0

Torreense 1

Vila Mea 2

Leixoes 1

1º Dezembro 1

Leiria 3

1/8-finals

Santa Clara 2

Sporting CP 3

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

AFS 1

FC Porto 4

Famalicao 1

SC Farense 0

Benfica 2

Lusitano GC 0

AD Fafe 1

Caldas SC 0

Braga 3

Casa Pia 1

Torreense 2

Vila Mea 0

Leiria 1

Quarter-finals

Sporting CP 3

AFS 2

FC Porto 1

Benfica 0

AD Fafe 2

Braga 1

Torreense 3

Leiria 1

Semi-finals

Sporting CP 1

FC Porto 0

AD Fafe 1

Torreense 3

Final

Sporting CP 1

Torreense 2

AD Fafe vs Torreense

Portugal

AD Fafe

Torreense

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

AD Fafe Compare

Torreense Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

AD Fafe

Torreense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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