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AD Huracan vs Castillo CF

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010 game between AD Huracan and Castillo CF finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Huracan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
AD Huracan
30%
Draws
47%
Castillo CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castillo CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Huracan come out ahead of Castillo CF on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Castillo CF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AD Huracan Clean Sheet 20%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Huracan Castillo CF
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 14
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.09 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
AD Huracan vs Castillo CF
2:1
Nov 6, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs AD Huracan
1:1
Jan 30, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
AD Huracan vs Castillo CF
0:4
Sep 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs AD Huracan
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Huracan 16 / 100
Castillo CF 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Huracan Castillo CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castillo CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

AD Huracan found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (34 games).

Castillo CF let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: AD Huracan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Huracan VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Huracan

(Home)
14 May
AD Huracan
1 : 6
Tijarafe
08 May
SD Tenisca
3 : 2
AD Huracan
30 Apr
AD Huracan
3 : 2
Tenerife B
22 Apr
Las Palmas B
1 : 0
AD Huracan
10 Apr
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 1
AD Huracan
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Castillo CF

(Away)
09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3
Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0
SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2
Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0
Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1
Teror
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corralejo 41 21 16 4 56:25 79
2 Las Palmas B 41 20 14 7 67:38 74
3 Pajara Playas 41 21 11 9 64:36 74
4 CD Marino 41 19 13 9 65:39 70
5 Mensajero 41 17 17 7 59:36 68
6 Atletico Granadilla 41 19 11 11 55:48 68
7 Villa Santa Brigida 41 15 15 11 42:29 60
8 UD Realejos 41 15 11 15 45:43 56
9 AD Huracan 41 14 13 14 42:40 55
10 SD Tenisca 41 16 7 18 55:47 55
11 Tijarafe 41 12 16 13 51:53 52
12 Castillo CF 41 11 17 13 46:50 50
13 Orientacion Maritima 41 12 14 15 44:55 50
14 Teror 41 12 13 16 46:53 49
15 CD Laguna 41 12 11 18 41:54 47
16 Las Zocas 41 11 14 16 38:53 47
17 Victoria CD 41 10 17 14 37:44 47
18 CD Charco Del Pino 41 10 16 15 39:50 46
19 Galdar 41 9 13 19 34:62 40
20 Los Llanos 41 7 15 19 33:58 36
21 Univ. Las Palmas B 41 7 11 23 44:73 32
22 Fuerteventura 21 5 7 9 23:40 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)