Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Limianos vs Atletico Arcos

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Santos J.
57' Event
Costa V.
63' Event
Costa V.

AI Match Summary

AD Limianos in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Limianos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
AD Limianos
30%
Draws
6%
Atletico Arcos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Limianos lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Arcos.
  • Win probability leans AD Limianos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AD Limianos have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Arcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Limianos Atletico Arcos
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.56 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Atletico Arcos vs AD Limianos
1:3
Dec 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Atletico Arcos
2:1
Sep 6, 2015 Taça de Portugal
Atletico Arcos vs AD Limianos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Limianos Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Atletico Arcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Limianos 95 / 100
Atletico Arcos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Limianos Atletico Arcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Limianos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Arcos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

AD Limianos went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

AD Limianos found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AD Limianos VS Atletico Arcos
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Limianos

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
06 Sept
Ponte da Barca
2 : 3
AD Limianos
30 Aug
Correlha
1 : 4
AD Limianos
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Arcos

(Away)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
13 Apr
Paredes
1 : 1
Atletico Arcos
05 Apr
Atletico Arcos
1 : 3
AD Limianos
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Brito
3 : 1
Atletico Arcos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)