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AD Limianos vs Chaves B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Campo Cruzeiro, Ponte de Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ferreira H.
11' Event
Jota S.
13' Event
Ferreira F.

AI Match Summary

AD Limianos in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Limianos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
AD Limianos
15%
Draws
40%
Chaves B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Limianos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Limianos lately — more wins on the board than Chaves B.
  • AD Limianos are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
AD Limianos Clean Sheet 19%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Limianos Chaves B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Chaves B
3:1
Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs AD Limianos
3:0
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Chaves B
2:2
May 5, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
AD Limianos vs Chaves B
2:0
Jan 6, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs AD Limianos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Limianos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jota S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Chaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Muteba D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Limianos 36 / 100
Chaves B 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Limianos Chaves B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Limianos found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Chaves B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AD Limianos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Limianos VS Chaves B
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Limianos

(Home)
01 Nov
Brito
2 : 4
AD Limianos
25 Oct
AD Limianos
3 : 2
Celoricense
18 Oct
Lusitania FC
2 : 1
AD Limianos
11 Oct
Vinhais
1 : 2
AD Limianos
27 Sept
AD Limianos
1 : 1
Rebordosa
Page 1 of 6

Chaves B

(Away)
01 Nov
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Chaves B
25 Oct
Chaves B
0 : 1
Braga B
11 Oct
Brito
0 : 4
Chaves B
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)