Sport Picks
AD Llerenense vs Montijo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 
Match Events
33'
33'
Peralta C.
39'
39'
Duro J.
77'
77'
Peguero G.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between AD Llerenense and Montijo finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Llerenense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and AD Llerenense come out ahead of Montijo on wins alone.
- AD Llerenense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
AD Llerenense Clean Sheet 68%
Montijo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Llerenense | Montijo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs Montijo
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs AD Llerenense
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs Montijo
2:0
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montijo vs AD Llerenense
0:2
Apr 28, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
AD Llerenense vs Montijo
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Llerenense Compare
Top Goalscorer Duro J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Peguero G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Montijo Compare
Top Goalscorer Peralta C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Llerenense 77 / 100
Montijo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Llerenense Montijo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AD Llerenense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montijo let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
AD Llerenense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
AD Llerenense found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
AD Llerenense VS Montijo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Llerenense
(Home) 27 Sept
CD Zafra
0 : 0 AD Llerenense
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Jaraiz
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1 AD Llerenense
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Jaraiz
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
26 Apr
AD Llerenense
1 : 1 Jaraiz
12 Apr
AD Llerenense
0 : 2 Villanovense
Page 1 of 3
Montijo
(Away) 04 Oct
Montijo
2 : 0 Jaraiz
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0 Montijo
20 Sept
Montijo
3 : 1 Guadiana
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 Montijo
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3 Cabeza del Buey
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0 Montijo
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 Montijo
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2 Montijo
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3 Montijo
05 Apr
Jaraiz
1 : 1 Montijo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
