Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2011/2012

AD Lousada

Sun, Oct 16, 2011

1 - 0

02:00 PM

Coimbroes

Our Tip

Match Events

118'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with AD Lousada advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

AD Lousada

30%

Draws

23%

Coimbroes

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Lousada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

AD Lousada carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans AD Lousada's way, sitting at 50%.
AD Lousada have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor AD Lousada, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

AD Lousada Clean Sheet 19%

Coimbroes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AD Lousada	Coimbroes
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	5
Draws	8	6
Losses	15	19
Goals Scored	1.03	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.77	1.73
Expected Goals (xG)	1.23	1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2011 Taça de Portugal

AD Lousada vs Coimbroes

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Lousada 49 / 100

Coimbroes 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AD Lousada Coimbroes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Lousada Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coimbroes has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

AD Lousada found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Coimbroes has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Coimbroes

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Lousada

(Home)

01 Sept

Grijo

3 : 2

AD Lousada

29 Apr

AD Lousada

0 : 3

AD Fafe

22 Apr

CD Ribeira Brava

1 : 2

AD Lousada

15 Apr

AD Lousada

1 : 1

Ribeirao

07 Apr

Maritimo B

1 : 0

AD Lousada

Page 1 of 6

Coimbroes

(Away)

13 Apr

Gondomar

0 : 0

Coimbroes

06 Apr

Coimbroes

1 : 2

Maritimo B

29 Mar

Cinfaes

3 : 1

Coimbroes

16 Mar

FC Alpendorada

2 : 1

Coimbroes

09 Mar

Coimbroes

1 : 1

AD Marco 09

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

U. Madeira -

TBD -

Cruzado Canicense 0

Famalicao 3

1º Dezembro -

TBD -

Louletano 0

Operario 2

TBD -

Braga -

Vizela 4

Despertar 1

Marinhense 0

AA Avanca 3

Fabril do Barreiro 2

Riachense 0

TBD -

AD Fafe -

Trofense -

TBD -

Uniao Montemor 2

CDR Quarteirense 3

Esposende 3

AD Valecambrense 2

TBD -

BSAD -

Benfica -

TBD -

GD Sourense 2

Melgacense 1

TBD -

Portimonense -

Macedo de Cavaleiros 4

CF Fao 0

TBD -

Atletico CP -

Freamunde -

TBD -

Naval -

Juv. Evora 2

Messinense 1

CF Canical 0

Carregado 4

Serzedelo 1

FC Alpendorada 0

TBD -

Esperanca de Lagos -

Beira Mar -

TBD -

Maritimo -

Moreirense -

TBD -

Maria de Fonte 1

SB Castelo Branco 2

Pinhalnovense -

TBD -

Ribeirao 0

AD Pontassolense 1

Coimbroes -

TBD -

Oliveira de Frades -

Lagoa 2

Aguia 1

Aliados Lordelo 1

AD Lousada 2

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Mafra -

TBD -

Alba 1

Sousense 3

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

SC Vila Real 1

1º de Maio Funchal 0

Bustelo 0

Torreense 3

Tirsense -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Beneditense 3

SC Praiense 1

TBD -

Sampedrense -

SC Espinho 3

FC Madalena 1

CU Micaelense 0

Camara de Lobos 3

GD Tourizense 2

Tocha 1

TBD -

Sao Joao de Ver -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 1

FC Cesarense 0

Senhorim 0

Chaves 7

Feirense -

TBD -

Nacional -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Paredes 5

Montijo 1

GD Braganca 2

SC Pombal 3

Anadia 1

SC Lusitania 0

Santiago FC 0

Amarante FC 6

Electrico FC 4

AD Limianos 0

Alcobaca 4

Tondela 5

Gondomar -

TBD -

Sesimbra -

Sporting Ideal 2

Fayal 0

TBD -

GD Joane -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Sertanense 1

Nogueirense 0

Oliveira Hospital 0

SC Mirandela 1

Estoril -

TBD -

Porto da Cruz 1

Sacavenense 2

Bairro da Argentina 3

Atletico SC 2

AD Oliveirense 2

Vila Mea 3

Merelinense -

TBD -

SC Angrense -

Rebordosa 2

Oliv. Bairro 1

TBD -

Penafiel -

GD Alcochetense 6

Bombarralense 2

Prainha 0

Penalva do Castelo 3

TBD -

Leiria -

FC Pampilhosa 3

Fatima 0

GD Peniche 0

FC Amares 1

TBD -

Olhanense -

Aves -

TBD -

Sintrense 0

Estrela Vendas Novas 2

Machico 2

Varzim 1

Real SC 0

Infesta 2

Moura AC 2

Grijo 0

SC Vianense 1

Cinfaes 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Covilha -

TBD -

SC Farense 0

Caldas SC 3

Marinhas -

TBD -

Guadalupe 0

Lamego 1

CD Portosantense 2

C.F. Benfica 1

Cerveira 0

Casa Pia 2

Pescadores Caparica 1

Meda 0

Camacha 0

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes -

TBD -

Arouca -

Estrela Calheta 1

Santana 0

CF Andorinha 0

Aljustrelense 2

Monsanto -

TBD -

Boavista Sao Mateus 0

Redondense 1

Padroense 2

O Elvas CAD 1

FC Crato 0

Santa Maria FC 6

FC Porto -

TBD -

Leca 2

Vilaverdense FC 0

TBD -

Pero Pinheiro -

Oriental 2

SL Cartaxo 1

TBD -

Oeiras -

TBD -

Academica -

1/64-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

U. Madeira 0

Famalicao 1

1º Dezembro 2

Operario 1

TBD -

Braga -

Vizela 2

AA Avanca 0

Fabril do Barreiro 0

AD Fafe 1

Trofense 1

CDR Quarteirense 0

Esposende 1

BSAD 5

Benfica -

TBD -

GD Sourense 0

Portimonense 3

Macedo de Cavaleiros 1

Atletico CP 0

Freamunde 1

Naval 3

Juv. Evora 2

Carregado 1

Serzedelo 0

Esperanca de Lagos 1

Beira Mar -

TBD -

Maritimo -

Moreirense 3

SB Castelo Branco 2

Pinhalnovense 0

AD Pontassolense 1

Coimbroes 3

Oliveira de Frades 1

Lagoa 1

AD Lousada 2

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Mafra 1

Sousense 2

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

SC Vila Real 0

Torreense 2

Tirsense 2

Santa Clara 1

Beneditense 0

Sampedrense 1

SC Espinho 4

Camara de Lobos 0

GD Tourizense 1

Sao Joao de Ver 4

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 0

Chaves 3

Feirense -

TBD -

Nacional -

Oliveirense 5

Academico Viseu 2

Paredes 0

SC Pombal 2

Anadia 3

Amarante FC 2

Electrico FC 0

Tondela 1

Gondomar 1

Sesimbra 0

Sporting Ideal 2

GD Joane 3

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Sertanense 2

SC Mirandela 4

Estoril 2

Sacavenense 0

Bairro da Argentina 1

Vila Mea 2

Merelinense 4

SC Angrense 3

Rebordosa 0

Penafiel 6

GD Alcochetense 3

Penalva do Castelo 2

TBD -

Leiria -

FC Pampilhosa 2

FC Amares 1

TBD -

Olhanense -

Aves 2

Estrela Vendas Novas 0

Machico 1

Infesta 2

Moura AC 2

Cinfaes 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Covilha 4

Caldas SC 0

Marinhas 1

Lamego 2

CD Portosantense 1

Casa Pia 0

Pescadores Caparica 0

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes 2

Arouca 1

Estrela Calheta 0

Aljustrelense 2

Monsanto 5

Redondense 1

Padroense 0

Santa Maria FC 1

FC Porto -

TBD -

Leca 0

Pero Pinheiro 2

Oriental 1

Oeiras 0

TBD -

Academica -

1/32-finals

Sporting CP 2

Famalicao 0

1º Dezembro 1

Braga 3

Vizela 3

AD Fafe 2

Trofense 1

BSAD 2

Benfica 2

Portimonense 0

Macedo de Cavaleiros 1

Naval 2

Juv. Evora 2

Esperanca de Lagos 0

Beira Mar 0

Maritimo 1

Moreirense 3

AD Pontassolense 1

Coimbroes 0

AD Lousada 1

Rio Ave 5

Sousense 2

Gil Vicente 0

Torreense 1

Tirsense 3

Sampedrense 1

SC Espinho 1

Sao Joao de Ver 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Chaves 0

Feirense 0

Nacional 1

Oliveirense 7

SC Pombal 1

Anadia 2

Tondela 3

Gondomar 1

GD Joane 0

Vitoria Setubal 0

SC Mirandela 1

Estoril 3

Vila Mea 1

Merelinense 2

Penafiel 3

GD Alcochetense 2

Leiria 1

FC Pampilhosa 0

Olhanense 3

Aves 4

Infesta 0

Moura AC 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Covilha 4

Lamego 1

CD Portosantense 0

CD Ribeira Brava 2

Leixoes 1

Aljustrelense 0

Monsanto 1

Santa Maria FC 2

FC Porto 8

Pero Pinheiro 0

Oriental 0

Academica 1

1/16-finals

Sporting CP 2

Braga 0

Vizela 0

BSAD 2

Benfica 1

Naval 0

Juv. Evora 0

Maritimo 1

Moreirense 7

AD Lousada 1

Rio Ave 2

Torreense 3

Tirsense 3

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Pacos Ferreira 2

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 1

Tondela 0

Gondomar 1

SC Mirandela 2

Estoril 2

Penafiel 1

GD Alcochetense 0

Olhanense 1

Aves 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

Covilha 0

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes 1

Santa Maria FC 0

FC Porto 0

Academica 3

1/8-finals

Sporting CP 2

BSAD 0

Benfica 1

Maritimo 2

Moreirense 2

Torreense 1

Tirsense 0

Nacional 1

Oliveirense 2

SC Mirandela 1

Estoril 2

Olhanense 3

Aves 2

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes 2

Academica 5

Quarter-finals

Sporting CP 3

Maritimo 0

Moreirense 2

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 2

Olhanense 1

Aves 2

Academica 3

Semi-finals

Sporting CP 5

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 2

Academica 3

Final

Sporting CP 0

Academica 1

AD Lousada vs Coimbroes

Portugal

AD Lousada

Coimbroes

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

AD Lousada

Coimbroes

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA