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AD Lousada vs Tirsense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012 game between AD Lousada and Tirsense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
AD Lousada
15%
Draws
59%
Tirsense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Tirsense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tirsense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Norte 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AD Lousada Clean Sheet 20%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Lousada Tirsense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Lousada vs Tirsense
1:1
Sep 18, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
Tirsense vs AD Lousada
1:0
Jan 30, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
AD Lousada vs Tirsense
1:1
Sep 26, 2010 Second Division - Zona Norte
Tirsense vs AD Lousada
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Lousada 24 / 100
Tirsense 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Lousada Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirsense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Lousada's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Tirsense let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: AD Lousada stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tirsense
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Lousada

(Home)
01 Sept
Grijo
3 : 2
AD Lousada
29 Apr
AD Lousada
0 : 3
AD Fafe
22 Apr
CD Ribeira Brava
1 : 2
AD Lousada
15 Apr
AD Lousada
1 : 1
Ribeirao
07 Apr
Maritimo B
1 : 0
AD Lousada
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Tirsense

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
23 Aug
Tirsense
3 : 0
Vinhais
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Varzim 30 20 8 2 48:12 68
2 AD Fafe 30 16 6 8 46:29 54
3 Chaves 30 15 9 6 41:26 54
4 SC Mirandela 30 14 10 6 55:32 52
5 Tirsense 30 11 11 8 39:29 44
6 AD Limianos 30 11 11 8 34:25 44
7 Ribeirao 30 10 14 6 39:31 44
8 CD Ribeira Brava 30 12 6 12 33:37 42
9 Famalicao 30 10 9 11 29:32 39
10 Macedo de Cavaleiros 30 10 9 11 43:48 39
11 Vizela 30 9 11 10 40:42 38
12 Maritimo B 30 10 8 12 41:45 38
13 Camacha 30 8 10 12 29:36 34
14 AD Lousada 30 8 8 14 30:45 32
15 Merelinense 30 3 7 20 33:68 16
16 AD Oliveirense 30 1 7 22 14:57 10
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)