Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Marco 09 vs Gondomar

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
de Oliveira da Silva P. H.
64'
Rebelo D.
64'
Rebelo D.

AI Match Summary

AD Marco 09 in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Marco 09.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AD Marco 09
30%
Draws
19%
Gondomar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Marco 09

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Marco 09 lately — more wins on the board than Gondomar.
  • Win probability leans AD Marco 09's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 68%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Marco 09 Gondomar
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 17 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
AD Marco 09 vs Gondomar
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs AD Marco 09
0:1
Jan 28, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
AD Marco 09 vs Gondomar
0:0
Sep 17, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gondomar vs AD Marco 09
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Marco 09 Compare

Top Goalscorer de Oliveira da Silva P. H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Gondomar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Marco 09 77 / 100
Gondomar 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Marco 09 Gondomar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Marco 09 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Marco 09 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AD Marco 09 scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Defensive concern: Gondomar conceded in 47% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AD Marco 09 VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Marco 09

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Maia Lidador
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
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Gondomar

(Away)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Gondomar
29 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 0
Camacha
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 2
Leca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)