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AD Marco 09 vs Maritimo B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bamba Y.
85' Event
Ribeiro C.
90' Event
Sousa T.

AI Match Summary

AD Marco 09 in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Marco 09.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
AD Marco 09
15%
Draws
27%
Maritimo B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Marco 09

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Marco 09 have won more games recently than Maritimo B.
  • Model gives AD Marco 09 a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 68%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Marco 09 Maritimo B
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs AD Marco 09
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
AD Marco 09 vs Maritimo B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Marco 09 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bamba Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ribeiro C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Maritimo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Marco 09 95 / 100
Maritimo B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Marco 09 Maritimo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Marco 09 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo B let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: AD Marco 09 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

AD Marco 09 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AD Marco 09 VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Marco 09

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Maia Lidador
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
Page 1 of 7

Maritimo B

(Away)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)