Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015

AD Merida

5 - 2

Atletico San Jose Promesas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AD Merida in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Merida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

AD Merida

22%

Draws

18%

Atletico San Jose Promesas

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AD Merida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to AD Merida lately — more wins on the board than Atletico San Jose Promesas.
Win probability leans AD Merida's way, sitting at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

AD Merida Clean Sheet 20%

Atletico San Jose Promesas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AD Merida	Atletico San Jose Promesas
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	9
Draws	9	7
Losses	10	14
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	0.88	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

AD Merida vs Atletico San Jose Promesas

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

5:2

Sep 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Atletico San Jose Promesas vs AD Merida

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Merida 58 / 100

Atletico San Jose Promesas 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AD Merida Atletico San Jose Promesas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Merida scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Atletico San Jose Promesas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Atletico San Jose Promesas let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Merida VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

0.88 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AD Merida	38	31	5	2	101:20	98
2	Extremadura UD	38	26	9	3	86:24	87
3	Jerez CF	38	25	6	7	70:18	81
4	CD Badajoz	38	23	8	7	71:31	77
5	CD Coria	38	20	6	12	55:40	66
6	Moralo	38	19	8	11	65:44	65
7	Don Benito	38	18	10	10	48:37	64
8	CD Azuaga	38	15	10	13	44:44	55
9	Pueblonuevo	38	13	13	12	50:42	52
10	Santa Amalia	38	15	6	17	44:50	51
11	Diter Zafra	38	12	14	12	51:48	50
12	Fuente de Cantos	38	12	6	20	39:61	42
13	Atletico San Jose Promesas	38	13	3	22	48:75	42
14	Olivenza FC	38	11	7	20	46:69	40
15	CP Valdivia	38	10	7	21	43:73	37
16	Sanvicenteno	38	9	7	22	34:61	34
17	Deportivo Pacense	38	9	6	23	46:93	33
18	Castuera	38	8	9	21	39:68	33
19	UP Plasencia	38	6	9	23	49:83	27
20	Hernan Cortes	38	6	9	23	35:83	27