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AD Rosario vs ADR Jicaral

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Lopez A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between AD Rosario and ADR Jicaral finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ADR Jicaral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AD Rosario
30%
Draws
37%
ADR Jicaral
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ADR Jicaral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ADR Jicaral come out ahead of AD Rosario on wins alone.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
AD Rosario Clean Sheet 17%
ADR Jicaral Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Rosario ADR Jicaral
Matches Played 26 34
Wins 6 19
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.42 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs AD Rosario
1:1
Jul 31, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs ADR Jicaral
0:1
Aug 27, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
ADR Jicaral vs AD Rosario
3:1
Aug 14, 2025 Copa Costa Rica
AD Rosario vs ADR Jicaral
0:0
Mar 9, 2014 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs ADR Jicaral
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Rosario Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

ADR Jicaral Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Rosario 36 / 100
ADR Jicaral 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Rosario ADR Jicaral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADR Jicaral Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Rosario's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

AD Rosario went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

ADR Jicaral let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Rosario VS ADR Jicaral
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Rosario

(Home)
03 Oct
AD Rosario
1 : 0
Quepos FC
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
Page 1 of 6

ADR Jicaral

(Away)
04 Oct
ADR Jicaral
3 : 1
Cofutpa
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
7 Guadalupe 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)