Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Rosario vs Santa Rosa

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Rosa in this Liga de Ascenso 2018/2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
AD Rosario
20%
Draws
7%
Santa Rosa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Rosario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • AD Rosario have won more games recently than Santa Rosa.
  • Win probability leans AD Rosario's way, sitting at 90%.
  • AD Rosario have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Rosa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
AD Rosario Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Rosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Rosario Santa Rosa
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 6 1
Draws 8 13
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.04 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Santa Rosa
1:1
Oct 19, 2019 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Santa Rosa
2:1
Aug 25, 2019 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Rosa vs AD Rosario
1:0
Apr 28, 2019 Liga de Ascenso
AD Rosario vs Santa Rosa
1:2
Apr 20, 2019 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Rosa vs AD Rosario
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Rosario 85 / 100
Santa Rosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Rosario Santa Rosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Rosario Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Rosa let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

AD Rosario's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

AD Rosario went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Rosario VS Santa Rosa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Rosario

(Home)
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
12 Sept
AD Rosario
2 : 1
Cofutpa
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
23 Aug
AD Rosario
3 : 2
Grecia
Page 1 of 6

Santa Rosa

(Away)
28 Mar
Santa Rosa
1 : 2
Guanacasteca
21 Mar
Puntarenas FC
2 : 0
Santa Rosa
13 Mar
Jaco FC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
07 Mar
Santa Rosa
0 : 1
Limon Black Star
27 Feb
Liberia
2 : 1
Santa Rosa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Jaco FC 1
Santa Ana 0
ADR Jicaral 2
Puerto Golfito FC 1
Santa Rosa 4
AD Rosario 2
Sporting FC 2
Cofutpa 3
Semi-finals
Jaco FC 0
ADR Jicaral 1
Santa Rosa 2
Cofutpa 4
Final
ADR Jicaral 3
Cofutpa 2