Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Sarchi vs Inter San Carlos

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Nunez A.
22' Event
Canales J.
37' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between AD Sarchi and Inter San Carlos finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AD Sarchi
20%
Draws
40%
Inter San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Inter San Carlos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AD Sarchi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 20%
Inter San Carlos Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Sarchi Inter San Carlos
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.35 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Inter San Carlos
2:2
Jan 17, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Inter San Carlos vs AD Sarchi
3:3
Oct 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Inter San Carlos vs AD Sarchi
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Inter San Carlos
2:0
Mar 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Inter San Carlos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Sarchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Canales J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cruz E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Inter San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Sarchi 42 / 100
Inter San Carlos 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Sarchi Inter San Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

AD Sarchi found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

AD Sarchi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Inter San Carlos let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Sarchi VS Inter San Carlos
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Sarchi

(Home)
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
23 Aug
AD Sarchi
1 : 1
Quepos FC
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Inter San Carlos

(Away)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
12 Sept
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
05 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Inter San Carlos
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Saprissa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)