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AD Sarchi vs Jaco FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hidalgo F.
20' Event
Perez V.
79' Event
Jimenez D.

AI Match Summary

AD Sarchi in this Liga de Ascenso 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Sarchi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AD Sarchi
15%
Draws
34%
Jaco FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Sarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Sarchi lately — more wins on the board than Jaco FC.
  • AD Sarchi are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AD Sarchi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 20%
Jaco FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Sarchi Jaco FC
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.82 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Jaco FC vs AD Sarchi
2:4
Jan 28, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Jaco FC
3:1
Oct 1, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Jaco FC
5:0
Aug 13, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Jaco FC vs AD Sarchi
1:5
Feb 25, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Jaco FC vs AD Sarchi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Sarchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Jaco FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidalgo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Sarchi 76 / 100
Jaco FC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Sarchi Jaco FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Sarchi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaco FC let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: AD Sarchi scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Away concern: Jaco FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Sarchi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Sarchi

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
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Jaco FC

(Away)
07 Apr
Cofutpa
9 : 3
Jaco FC
01 Apr
Jaco FC
3 : 1
Antioquia
25 Mar
Jaco FC
2 : 2
Carmelita
22 Mar
Jaco FC
1 : 2
Quepos FC
19 Mar
Inter San Carlos
4 : 1
Jaco FC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quepos FC 16 11 2 3 28:16 35
2 AD Sarchi 16 10 3 3 32:17 33
3 Inter San Carlos 16 9 5 2 36:15 32
4 ADR Jicaral 16 9 5 2 31:11 32
5 Cofutpa 16 10 2 4 35:18 32
6 Antioquia 16 5 2 9 17:27 17
7 Carmelita 16 3 3 10 19:32 12
8 Jaco FC 16 3 2 11 22:36 11
9 Puerto Golfito FC 16 0 0 16 0:48 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Limon Black Star 16 12 1 3 27:10 37
2 Escorpiones 16 10 3 3 42:22 33
3 CS Uruguay 16 9 4 3 22:14 31
4 Santa Ana 16 9 2 5 33:14 29
5 Guadalupe 16 9 2 5 33:19 29
6 FC Moravia 16 4 5 7 21:20 17
7 Cariari Pococi 15 3 2 10 16:27 11
8 Aserri 15 2 3 10 12:35 9
9 Municipal Turrialba 16 1 2 13 9:54 5
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)