Sport Picks
AD Tarma vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Unión Tarma, Tarma 
Match Events
37'
37'
Canales E.
44'
44'
Ojeda A.
45'
45'
Nunez O.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between AD Tarma and Deportivo Garcilaso finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Garcilaso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Garcilaso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Deportivo Garcilaso come out ahead of AD Tarma on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Deportivo Garcilaso's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Deportivo Garcilaso here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
AD Tarma Clean Sheet 10%
Deportivo Garcilaso Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Tarma | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs AD Tarma
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs AD Tarma
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Liga 1
AD Tarma vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 Liga 1
Deportivo Garcilaso vs AD Tarma
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Tarma 10 / 100
Deportivo Garcilaso 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Tarma Deportivo Garcilaso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Garcilaso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Tarma's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Deportivo Garcilaso has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.
AD Tarma went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AD Tarma VS Deportivo Garcilaso
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Tarma
(Home) 01 Oct
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0 AD Tarma
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0 AD Tarma
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0 AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Sporting Cristal
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1 Cienciano
30 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 3 Sport Huancayo
27 Aug
AD Tarma
2 : 0 Moquegua
15 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 1 Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 4
Deportivo Garcilaso
(Away) 19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0 Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1 Cusco
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
16 Aug
Cienciano
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
02 Aug
AD Tarma
0 : 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:24 | 8 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:21 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
