Sport Picks

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AD Tarma vs Los Caimanes

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2021
AD Tarma Logo

AD Tarma

2 - 2
FT
Los Caimanes Logo

Los Caimanes

Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Orosco P.
51' Event
Cubas A.
58' Event
Palomino J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Peru 2021 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
AD Tarma
20%
Draws
50%
Los Caimanes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Caimanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Tarma lately — more wins on the board than Los Caimanes.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • AD Tarma have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
AD Tarma Clean Sheet 20%
Los Caimanes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Tarma Los Caimanes
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2021 Copa Peru
AD Tarma vs Los Caimanes
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Tarma Compare

Top Goalscorer Palomino J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davila N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Los Caimanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Orosco P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cubas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Tarma 32 / 100
Los Caimanes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Tarma Los Caimanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Caimanes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Caimanes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: AD Tarma scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

AD Tarma went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Tarma VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Tarma

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1
Sporting Cristal
23 Sept
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Cienciano
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0
AD Tarma
06 Sept
FBC Melgar
3 : 0
AD Tarma
30 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 3
Sport Huancayo
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Los Caimanes

(Away)
22 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
Los Caimanes
17 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2
Los Caimanes
14 Nov
Credicoop San Cristobal
1 : 1
Los Caimanes
10 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
4 : 0
Los Caimanes
07 Nov
Deportivo Maristas
0 : 0
Los Caimanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Tarma 7 4 2 1 16:9 14
2 Credicoop San Cristobal 7 3 4 0 13:6 13
3 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 7 3 4 0 13:7 13
4 Los Caimanes 7 2 4 1 7:8 10
5 Deportivo Maristas 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
6 Union San Martin 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
7 Parachique 7 1 2 4 11:16 5
8 Estrella Azul 7 0 1 6 4:17 1
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)