Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Torrejon vs Galapagar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Pradillos Castrillejo J.
45' Event
Chamorro I.
63' Event
Pradillos Castrillejo J.

AI Match Summary

AD Torrejon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Torrejon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
AD Torrejon
15%
Draws
53%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Torrejon have won more games recently than Galapagar.
  • Galapagar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 12%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Torrejon Galapagar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Galapagar
4:0
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs AD Torrejon
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs AD Torrejon
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Galapagar
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Galapagar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Torrejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Pradillos Castrillejo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chamorro I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Galapagar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Torrejon 10 / 100
Galapagar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Torrejon Galapagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Torrejon found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Galapagar has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: AD Torrejon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Torrejon VS Galapagar
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Torrejon

(Home)
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2
AD Torrejon
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3
CD Las Rozas
17 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 6

Galapagar

(Away)
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)