Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Lagreca S.
18'
18'
Heranz J.
Own Goal
35'
35'
Marcos A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Torrejon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- AD Torrejon have won more games recently than Mexico.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 18%
Mexico Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Torrejon | Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Mexico
3:3
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs AD Torrejon
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Mexico
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs AD Torrejon
0:1
Mar 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs AD Torrejon
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Torrejon Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcos A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Daoud H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Mexico Compare
Top Goalscorer Lagreca S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maganto I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Torrejon 31 / 100
Mexico 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Torrejon Mexico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AD Torrejon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AD Torrejon scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Mexico conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
AD Torrejon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
AD Torrejon VS Mexico
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Torrejon
(Home) 28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2 AD Torrejon
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3 CD Las Rozas
17 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Parla
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1 AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 6
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3 CD Las Rozas
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Parla
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3 Mexico
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1 Carabanchel
29 Mar
AD Torrejon
1 : 1 San Sebastian Reyes B
Page 1 of 3
Mexico
(Away) 10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2 Mexico
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2 Trival Valderas
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3 Mexico
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2 Parla
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1 Mexico
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2 Mexico
26 Apr
AD Torrejon
3 : 3 Mexico
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1 Mexico
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 3 Mexico
22 Mar
Carabanchel
0 : 0 Mexico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
