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AD Torrejon vs Real Aranjuez Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
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Match Events

16' Event

AI Match Summary

AD Torrejon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Torrejon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AD Torrejon
15%
Draws
34%
Real Aranjuez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Torrejon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Torrejon lately — more wins on the board than Real Aranjuez.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on AD Torrejon taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 68%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Torrejon Real Aranjuez
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.73 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Real Aranjuez
4:2
Oct 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs AD Torrejon
3:0
Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Real Aranjuez
3:1
Sep 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs AD Torrejon
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Torrejon 77 / 100
Real Aranjuez 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Torrejon Real Aranjuez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Torrejon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Torrejon's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Real Aranjuez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Real Aranjuez registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Torrejon VS Real Aranjuez
1.25 Goals Scored 1.43
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.71
50% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Torrejon

(Home)
04 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
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Real Aranjuez

(Away)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes B
3 : 5
Real Aranjuez
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)